• 2020 China Coal Capacity Study and 2021-2025 Forecast
    • Cycle of publication: Annual

      Date of completion: Dec, 2020

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SUMMARY

During the "13th Five-Year Plan" period (2016-2020), the tasks of coal supply-side reform are overfulfilled, with optimized coal capacity structure, enhanced supply quality, improved performance of coal producers and smooth operation of the coal market. During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period (2021-2025), while consolidating the achievements in coal de-capacity, China will continue to close coal mines that are not up to standards in scale, environmental and safety requirements, but de-capacity strength will weaken, and the focus of supply-side reform will shift to cultivate high-quality advanced capacity and increase effective supply capability.

INTRODUCTION

As approaching the end of 2020, Fenwei is timely releasing “2020 China Coal Capacity Study and 2021-2025 Forecast” based on its own coal capacity database and expert resources, to review coal capacity in China and by province/by coal type, and forecast supply capacity changes in 2021-2025. 
The report incorporates abundant data, figures and technical parameters in clear analytic logics and viewpoints, which shall definitely act as a valuable reference for market participants to become versed in coal capacity status quo and future development trend. 

1 2016-2020 Coal Supply-side Reform Review
1.1 Policy evolution - capacity exit, capacity replacement 
1.2 De-capacity achievements
1.2.1 Capacity withdrawal in China
1.2.2 Capacity withdrawal by province/by coal type (thermal coal, coking coal)
2 2020 Coal Supply-side Reform Policy and Execution Outcome
2.1 Policy requirements
? Policy contents - de-capacity, capacity replacement, construction of advanced capacity 
2.2 De-capacity achievements
2.2.1 Capacity withdrawal in China
2.2.2 Capacity withdrawal by province/by type (thermal coal, coking coal)
2.3 Construction of advanced capacity and release of new capacity 
2.4 Changes in coal industry in 2020 brought by supply-side reform
2.4.1 Mine size
2.4.2 Capacity structure and coal output
2.4.3 Corporate profits 
2.4.4 Coal import & export
2.4.5 Safety and environmental protection
3 China Coal Capacity Structure by 2020-end
3.1 Coal capacity
3.1.1 Total China
3.1.2 By province
3.2 Thermal coal capacity
3.2.1 Operating, built-up, under-construction and construction suspended thermal coal capacity by province 
3.2.2 Total thermal coal capacity
3.2.3 Effective thermal coal capacity
3.3 Coking coal capacity
3.3.1 Operating, built-up, under-construction and construction suspended coking coal capacity by province 
3.3.2 Total coking coal capacity
3.3.3 Effective coking coal capacity
4 2021-2025 Coal Capacity Forecast
4.1 Development trend of coal supply-side reform policy 
4.2 Construction of advanced capacity and commissioning of newly-added capacity 
4.3 Thermal coal capacity forecast
4.3.1 Capacity withdrawal by province
4.3.2 Operating, built-up, under-construction and construction suspended thermal coal capacity by province 
4.3.3 Total thermal coal capacity
4.3.4 Effective thermal coal capacity by province
4.4 Coking coal capacity forecast
4.4.1 Capacity withdrawal by province
4.4.2 Operating, built-up, under-construction and construction suspended coking coal capacity by province 
4.4.3 Total coking coal capacity 
4.4.4 Effective coking coal capacity by province
4.5 2021-2025 total coal capacity forecast
4.5.1 Operating, built-up, under-construction and construction suspended coal capacity by province 
4.5.2 Total effective coal capacity forecast
4.6 2021-2025 China coal capacity development trend 
5 Conclusions

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